percentage points 結果共18筆

A recent survey by the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation reveals that 52% of respondents have confidence in President-elect Lai Ching-te’s leadership. The survey, conducted from Jan. 15-17, 2024, among adults aged 20 and above nationwide, shows that 21% have high confidence in Lai’s ability to lead, while 30.9% are somewhat confident. On the other hand, 19.5% are not very confident, 18.7% are not at all confident, and 7.3% held no opinion. The survey, which had a total valid sample of 1083 respondents, also found that 51.9% expressed confidence in Lai, while 38.2% reported having no confidence in him. The survey was funded by TPOF and had a margin of error of approximately 2.98 percentage points at a 95% confidence level.

A citizens’ preference poll conducted by the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation (TPOF) revealed that 47.3% of respondents were generally pleased with the outcome of the elections, in which the Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) candidate won the presidency but failed to secure a majority in the legislature. The poll results, announced by TPOF on Jan. 23, showed a mixed outlook, with 15.3% very pleased, 32% somewhat pleased, 23.4% slightly displeased, and 9.1% not pleased. Additionally, nearly 60% of respondents agreed with the idea of forming a coalition government in the absence of a single party gaining a majority. The survey, conducted from Jan. 15-17 by Focus Survey Research on behalf of TPOF, utilized a dual-frame random sampling design, targeting Taiwanese residents aged 20 and above through 70% landline and 30% mobile calls. The margin of error is 2.98 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

The United Daily News pre-closure poll shows that Lai Ching-te and Hsiao Bi-khim, the Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) presidential and vice-presidential candidates, maintain a 5-percentage-point lead over their Kuomintang (KMT) rivals, Hou Yu-ih and Jaw Shaw-kong. The Lai-Hsiao ticket received 32% support, while the Hou-Jaw ticket received 27%, a decrease of four percentage points from previous polls. Ko Wen-je and Cynthia Wu, the Taiwan People’s Party’s (TPP) presidential and vice-presidential candidates, trailed with 21% support. Among different age groups, the Ko-Wu ticket led among voters aged 20 to 39 with a 42% support rate. Among 40-59 year-olds, the Hou-Jaw ticket led by 1%, and among voters over 60, the Hou-Jaw ticket polled at 37%, while the Lai-Hsiao ticket polled at 35%. The survey was conducted from Dec. 26-30, 2023, with a sample size of 1,215 adults. The sampling error is within plus or minus 2.8 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. The survey used a dual telephone register for random sampling, including landline and mobile phones, with weighting by gender, age, and population structure. The funding for the survey came from United Daily News.

According to a recent poll conducted by ETtoday, the ＂Lai-Hsiao＂ (Lai Ching-te, Hsiao Bi-khim) ticket of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) is leading in Taiwan’s presidential election in 2024 with 38.1% of voter support. The ＂Hou-Jaw＂ (Hou Yu-ih) ticket of the Kuomintang (KMT) follows closely behind with 34.8%, while the ＂Ko-Wu＂ (Ko Wen-je, Cynthia Wu) ticket of the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) stands at 19.2%. The approval rating for the Lai-Hsiao ticket has increased by 1.9 percentage points since the last poll, while the Hou-Jaw ticket has remained constant, and the Ko-Wu ticket has experienced a slight decrease of 1.5 points. As a result, the gap between Lai and Hou has grown from 1.4 to 3.3 points. In terms of demographics, Lai is leading in Taiwan’s southern regions and among people aged 40-49, with respective approval ratings of 49.7% and 38.1%. Hou, on the other hand, is leading in the north, outlying eastern islands, and among those aged 60 and older, with approval ratings at 38.6%, 42.5%, and 52.7%, respectively. Ko is leading among younger voters aged 20-39. Lai’s support has seen a significant increase of 15.9 points among voters aged 50-59, indicating improvement in a previously weaker demographic. However, Lai’s support has decreased by 20 points among DPP supporters. In contrast, Hou’s support has remained steady, and Ko’s approval has surged by 10.6 points among pan-DPP supporters. The poll was conducted on December 25-26, surveying Taiwanese aged 20 and older about the 2024 presidential elections. The sample size was 1,618, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.44% and a confidence level of 95%.

The latest survey results reveal a close presidential race in Taiwan, with the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidates Lai Ching-te and Hsiao Bi-khim leading with 35.9 percent support, followed closely by the Kuomintang (KMT) ticket of Hou Yu-ih for president and Jaw Shaw-kong for vice president with 34.7 percent. The Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) candidate Ko Wen-je and running mate Cynthia Wu are in third place with 19.6 percent support. Notably, the TPP’s Ko-Wu ticket has garnered 26.3 percent support from centrist voters, surpassing both the KMT and DPP. While 44.3 percent of respondents believe the DPP candidates are likely to win the 2024 Presidential and Vice Presidential elections, 30.1 percent support the KMT, and 13.8 percent favor the TPP candidates. However, the poll also highlights significant opposition, with 40.5 percent of respondents indicating they would not vote for the DPP ticket, followed by 27.3 percent against the KMT and 20.6 percent not favoring the TPP. The survey, sponsored by ETtoday, was conducted from December 18-19 and gathered a valid sample size of 1,224 Taiwanese adults over the age of 20 using mobile text notifications and closed internet questionnaires. The poll has an error margin of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points at a 95 percent confidence level.

A survey by Cathay Financial Holdings reveals that Taiwanese are increasingly optimistic about year-end bonuses and economic prospects. 59.3% of respondents expect bonuses ranging from one to three months’ salary, surpassing last year’s 55%. Furthermore, 8.3% anticipate bonuses exceeding three months’ pay, reflecting an improvement in attitudes towards Taiwan’s economy. The Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics predicts a 3.35% economic growth in 2024 with an inflation rate of 1.64%, but the public is more cautious, expecting a 2.52% growth and a 2.21% inflation rate. The optimism index for the local stock market has also improved. Additionally, 45.9% of Taiwanese anticipate salary increases, a 13.2 percentage point increase from 2022, while those expecting a steady monthly income dropped by 10.9 percentage points to 47.6%. Only 32.4% believe their year-end bonus will be less than one month’s salary, a decrease of 5.6 percentage points from the previous year.

A new poll by ETtoday reveals a tight race in the upcoming 2024 presidential election in Taiwan. The Democratic Progressive Party’s Lai-Hsiao ticket, consisting of Lai Ching-te and Hsiao Bi-khim, leads with 35.9% support, slightly ahead of the Kuomintang’s Hou-Jaw ticket, comprised of Hou Yu-ih and Jaw Shaw-kong, at 34.7%. The Taiwan People’s Party’s Ko-Wu ticket, featuring Ko Wen-je and Cynthia Wu, trails behind with 19.6% support. Despite the close percentages, 44.3% of the public expresses confidence in the Lai-Hsiao ticket’s ability to win, compared to 30.1% for Hou-Jaw and 13.8% for Ko-Wu. Conversely, 40.5% of voters are certain they will not vote for Lai-Hsiao, while 27.3% reject Hou-Jaw and 20.6% turn away from Ko-Wu. In terms of non-constituency legislators, the KMT leads with 35% support, followed by the DPP with 31.3% and the TPP at 14.5%. The poll highlights public concern over Taiwan’s economic ties with China, particularly due to recent trade restrictions viewed as trade barriers and the suspension of the Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) measures. Additionally, 47.1% of respondents worry that a Lai Ching-te presidency could worsen cross-strait economic and people-to-people exchanges, while 16.4% hold the same concern for Hou Yu-ih and 11.6% for Ko Wen-je. The poll, conducted from December 18 to 19, surveyed 1,224 respondents with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.8%. Compared to the previous poll from December 14 to 15, support for the Lai-Hsiao ticket dropped by 2.6 percentage points, while the Hou-Jaw ticket saw a minor decline of 0.4 percentage points, and the Ko-Wu ticket remained unchanged. The number of undecided voters increased to 9.8%, indicating the undecided nature of the electorate ahead of the presidential vote.

The latest poll released by United Daily News shows a neck-and-neck race unfolding in Taiwan’s upcoming 2024 presidential election. The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidates, Lai Ching-te and Hsiao Bi-khim, known as ＂Lai-Hsiao,＂ have a support rate of 31%, matching the popularity of the Kuomintang (KMT) duo Hou Yu-ih and Jaw Shaw-kong, dubbed ＂Hou-Jaw,＂ who also have a 31% approval rating. Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) candidate Ko Wen-je and his vice-presidential partner, Cynthia Wu, referred to as ＂Ko-Wu,＂ currently stand at 21% in the polls. In terms of in-party support, ＂Lai-Hsiao＂ leads with an 86% approval rate among DPP supporters, ＂Hou-Jaw＂ has an 83% approval from KMT adherents, and ＂Ko-Wu＂ secured an 85% backing from TPP followers. Among neutral voters, ＂Hou-Jaw＂ leads with 25%, followed by ＂Ko-Wu＂ at 23%, and ＂Lai-Hsiao＂ at 19%. However, 45% of all polled voters believe ＂Lai-Hsiao＂ are most likely to win the election, compared to 23% for ＂Hou-Jaw＂ and 13% for ＂Ko-Wu,＂ with 19% feeling the outcome is too close to call. The survey also indicates a collective yearning among 48% of respondents for political change, with 31% expressing a strong desire to see the DPP unseated. The poll, conducted from Dec. 13 to Dec. 17, involved 1,250 adult respondents with an additional 368 refusals. The methodology employed dual-frame sampling of both landline and mobile phones, accounting for mobile-only households, and the results were weighted according to age, gender, and population distribution across various municipalities for those aged over 20. The survey has a margin of error of ±2.8 percentage points at a 95% confidence level.

The latest poll by My-formosa.com shows that the Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) Lai-Hsiao ticket holds a slight lead with 35.7% support among voters. The Kuomintang’s (KMT) Hou-Kong ticket trails closely with 31.7% support, four percentage points behind the DPP. The Taiwan People’s Party’s (TPP) Ko-Ying ticket remains in third place with 18.6% support. The support for the leading Lai-Hsiao ticket has fluctuated between 35% to 40%, with a lead over the Hou-Kong ticket within a 6-percentage-point range. The poll utilized a stratified random sampling method based on Chunghwa Telecom’s residential phonebook database and interviewed 1,201 individuals. The confidence level of the poll is 95% with a maximum margin of sampling error of ±2.8%.

The latest public opinion poll in Taiwan shows a decline in support for all presidential hopeful pairings in the 2024 election. The Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) Lai-Hsiao ticket maintains a lead with 35.1% support, despite a drop of 2.7 percentage points. The Kuomintang’s (KMT) Hou-Jaw pairing saw a marginal decline to 32.5%, indicating a close race. The Taiwan People Party’s (TPP) Ko-Wu team also experienced a dip in support, sliding to an even 17%. In terms of party rotation, 32.2% of respondents believe it would be better for Taiwan’s development if the DPP continues to hold the presidency, while 29% prefer a KMT takeover and 15% support the TPP. The poll included 1,201 participants over the age of 20 and was conducted on December 7, 8, and 11.

The latest presidential poll reveals that the Ko-Ying ticket of the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) is projected to secure between 2.535 million to 2.726 million votes. My Formosa Chairman Wu Tzu-chia described these numbers as ＂terrifying.＂ The Lai-Hsiao ticket of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) is estimated to receive a vote share of 40.6 percent to 42.7 percent, translating to 5.534 million to 5.820 million votes. The Hou-Kang ticket of the Kuomintang (KMT) is expected to garner 38.6% to 39.6% of the vote, amounting to 5.261 million to 5.398 million votes. The Ko-Ying ticket is anticipated to achieve a vote percentage of 18.6% to 20.0%. Wu emphasized that TPP’s presidential candidate Ko Wen-je holds nearly 3 million votes, which could influence the election’s outcome. Ko’s popularity surged after launching the ’KP Show,’ causing DPP candidate Lai Ching-te’s polling numbers to decrease by nearly two percentage points from 40%. Wu acknowledged the remarkable shift of young voters aligning with Ko Wen-je instead of the KMT.

The recent ETtoday poll reveals that the Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) Lai Ching-te and Hsiao Bi-khim are leading the race in Taiwan’s upcoming election, with 39% support. This puts them slightly ahead of the Kuomintang (KMT) candidates Hou Yu-ih and Jaw Shaw-kong, who are trailing by 5.2 percentage points. The survey also shows a decrease in support for the Taiwan People’s Party’s (TPP) Ko Wen-je and Cynthia Wu, the Ko-Wu ticket, from 19.6% to 18.1%. Despite these shifts, the DPP’s Lai and Hsiao maintain a tangible lead over their KMT and TPP competitors. As the election approaches, all parties are actively campaigning to secure their political future in Taiwan. The poll was conducted on Dec. 6-7 and targeted residents of Taiwan who are at least 20 years old. The survey had a confidence level of 95% and a margin of error of plus or minus 2.77%, with 1,251 valid respondents.

A new poll conducted by Formosa Magazine shows that the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) ticket of Lai Ching-te and Hsiao Bi-khim is leading with 40.1% support, followed by the Kuomintang (KMT) duo Hou Yu-ih and Jaw Shaw-kong with 31.6%. The Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) pair Ko Wen-je and Cynthia Wu received the lowest support at 14.8%. The survey also revealed that 3.3% of respondents would not vote or cast an invalid vote, and 10.2% were undecided. The poll shows a slight increase of 1.8 percentage points for the Lai-Hsiao alliance, a 0.2 percentage point rise for the Hou-Jaw ticket, and no change for the Ko-Wu ticket compared to the previous poll. In terms of party governance preferences, 35.3% favored the DPP staying in power, while 29.1% supported a handover to the KMT, and 13.3% were in favor of the TPP. Additionally, 47% disagreed with the idea of voting for the opposition party with the highest level of support to remove the ruling party, while 41.1% agreed. The poll interviewed 1,201 Taiwanese citizens aged 20 and above across 22 counties and cities using computer-assisted telephone interviewing from Dec. 4 to Dec. 6. The confidence level was at 95% with a maximum sampling error of ±2.8%.

The latest poll from the ＂Formosa＂ website reveals a close race in Taiwan’s presidential election, with Lai Ching-te of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) leading by a slim margin of 31.4%, followed closely by Hou Yu-ih of the Kuomintang (KMT) at 31.1%. Ko Wen-je of the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) trails in third place with 25.2%, over 6 percentage points behind the front-runners. Former legislator Shen Fu-hsiung, speaking on TVBS Situation Room, analyzed the situation, highlighting that the close polling between Hou and Ko does not give Lai a significant advantage. However, he cautioned against calls for a collaboration between the KMT and TPP at this time. Shen further explained that in presidential system countries like Taiwan, cooperation talks are not typically pursued, unlike in parliamentary systems where post-election coalitions may form. With the widening gap in support between Hou and Ko, Shen urged political observers to abandon the idea of a pan-blue alliance. He also emphasized that if the KMT aims to surpass the DPP in the upcoming elections, they should focus on diminishing the TPP’s support and consolidating the pan-blue vote without relying on a formal alliance.

In a closely contested presidential race in Taiwan, a recent poll by Formosa Magazine shows that the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidate, Lai Ching-te, holds a slim lead over his Kuomintang (KMT) rival, Hou Yu-ih. Lai stands at 31.4%, while Hou is close behind at 31.1%, and the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) contender, Ko Wen-je, trails at 25.2%. The razor-thin margin of just 0.3 percentage points between Lai and Hou highlights the intense competition as Taiwan enters the final stage of the election. This election also presents the possibility of a shift in political power, with 27.8% supporting the continuation of the DPP government, 26.8% backing the KMT, and 16.5% siding with the TPP. Approximately 2.9% of the population supports an independent candidate. DPP sources claim that recent unusual polling activities are due to vigorous mobilization by the pan-blue and white camps (KMT and TPP), which have anomalously driven declared rates from about 50% to a staggering 90%. The poll was conducted over three days, from Nov. 21-23, using Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing (CATI) and had a valid sample size of 1,331 respondents. The poll paints a picture of a fiercely contested election, with an electorate divided on its future leadership.

Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) presidential candidate Lai Ching-te is facing pressure from the opposition alliance formed by the Kuomintang (KMT) and Taiwan People’s Party (TPP), according to a recent poll by Formosa Magazine. In a three-way race, Lai leads with 33.6% support, followed by KMT’s Hou Yu-ih at 28.5%, and TPP’s Ko Wen-je at 20.5%. The KMT-TPP union, known as the Blue-White Coalition, has put Lai in an unfavorable position, with a combined support for Hou and Ko reaching 49%. Political commentator Wu Tzu-chia noted the narrowing gap between Lai and Hou, with just a 5.1 percentage point difference. When Ko’s 20.5% support is considered, the Hou-Ko duo leads Lai by a significant 16 percentage points. The formation of the Blue-White Coalition has intensified the election battle for Lai, as indicated by the poll. The Blue-White agreement, reached on Nov. 15 by Ko, Hou, former president Ma Ying-jeou, and KMT Chairman Eric Chu, has caused ripples in Taiwan’s political landscape.

Taiwan People’s Party presidential candidate Ko Wen-je’s disapproval rating has increased by 14.5 percentage points to 42.3%, making him the most unpopular among the contenders, according to a recent poll. The survey also revealed that Democratic Progressive Party candidate Lai Ching-te has an approval rating of 33% and a disapproval rating of 39.5%, while Kuomintang candidate Hou You-yi has an approval rating of 27.3% and a disapproval rating of 32%. Independent candidate Terry Gou received an approval rating of 17.9% and a disapproval rating of 33.9%. Compared to a previous poll conducted in May 2023, all four candidates saw an increase in disapproval ratings and a decline in approval ratings. Notably, Ko’s disapproval rating increased by 14.5 percentage points, while Gou’s approval rating fell by 16.1 percentage points.

The latest poll by Formosa Magazine reveals that Lai Ching-te, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidate, is leading the race for the 2024 presidential election in Taiwan with 38.5% support. The Kuomintang (KMT) candidate, Hou Yu-ih, trails behind at 26.2%, while Ko Wen-je, the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) candidate, secures 16.9% support. Including independent candidate Terry Gou, Lai is leading with 35.6% approval in the ＂four-legged race,＂ followed by Hou at 22.2%, Ko at 16.9%, and Gou at the bottom with 6.9%. The survey also asked non-Lai supporters if they would vote for the candidate with the highest level of support among Ko, Hou, and Gou to beat the ruling DPP. 45.5% of respondents disagreed, while 39.1% agreed. In comparison to the previous poll, Lai saw a 0.8 percentage point increase to 38.5% in a three-legged race, while Hou dropped 1.4 percentage points to 26.2%. Ko, on the other hand, increased by 1.4 percentage points. Regardless of the race format, Hou currently beats Ko by five to six percentage points. The poll was conducted from November 2-3 and 6, surveying 1,201 adults across 22 counties and cities nationwide, with an error margin of 2.8% at a 95% confidence level.